| | |  | |  | SENSEX - A BRIEF INTRO.
Introduction For
the premier Stock Exchange that pioneered the stock broking activity in
India, 128 years of experience seems to be a proud milestone. A lot has
changed since 1875 when 318 persons became members of what today is
called "The Stock Exchange, Mumbai" by paying a princely amount of Re1.
Since
then, the country's capital markets have passed through both good and
bad periods. The journey in the 20th century has not been an easy one.
Till the decade of eighties, there was no scale to measure the ups and
downs in the Indian stock market. The Stock Exchange, Mumbai (BSE) in
1986 came out with a stock index that subsequently became the barometer
of the Indian stock market.
SENSEX is not only scientifically
designed but also based on globally accepted construction and review
methodology. First compiled in 1986, SENSEX is a basket of 30
constituent stocks representing a sample of large, liquid and
representative companies. The base year of SENSEX is 1978-79 and the
base value is 100. The index is widely reported in both domestic and
international markets through print as well as electronic media.
The
Index was initially calculated based on the "Full Market
Capitalization" methodology but was shifted to the free-float
methodology with effect from September 1, 2003. The "Free-float Market
Capitalization" methodology of index construction is regarded as an
industry best practice globally. All major index providers like MSCI,
FTSE, STOXX, S&P and Dow Jones use the Free-float methodology.
Due
to is wide acceptance amongst the Indian investors; SENSEX is regarded
to be the pulse of the Indian stock market. As the oldest index in the
country, it provides the time series data over a fairly long period of
time (From 1979 onwards). Small wonder, the SENSEX has over the years
become one of the most prominent brands in the country.
The
growth of equity markets in India has been phenomenal in the decade
gone by. Right from early nineties the stock market witnessed
heightened activity in terms of various bull and bear runs. The SENSEX
captured all these events in the most judicial manner. One can identify
the booms and busts of the Indian stock market through SENSEX.
SENSEX Calculation Methodology
SENSEX
is calculated using the "Free-float Market Capitalization" methodology.
As per this methodology, the level of index at any point of time
reflects the Free-float market value of 30 component stocks relative to
a base period. The market capitalization of a company is determined by
multiplying the price of its stock by the number of shares issued by
the company. This market capitalization is further multiplied by the
free-float factor to determine the free-float market capitalization.
The
base period of SENSEX is 1978-79 and the base value is 100 index
points. This is often indicated by the notation 1978-79=100. The
calculation of SENSEX involves dividing the Free-float market
capitalization of 30 companies in the Index by a number called the
Index Divisor. The Divisor is the only link to the original base period
value of the SENSEX. It keeps the Index comparable over time and is the
adjustment point for all Index adjustments arising out of corporate
actions, replacement of scrips etc. During market hours, prices of the
index scrips, at which latest trades are executed, are used by the
trading system to calculate SENSEX every 15 seconds and disseminated in
real time.
Dollex-30
BSE also calculates a dollar-linked version of SENSEX and historical values of this index are available since its inception.
Understanding Free-float Methodology
Concept:
Free-float
Methodology refers to an index construction methodology that takes into
consideration only the free-float market capitalization of a company
for the purpose of index calculation and assigning weight to stocks in
Index. Free-float market capitalization is defined as that proportion
of total shares issued by the company that are readily available for
trading in the market. It generally excludes promoters' holding,
government holding, strategic holding and other locked-in shares that
will not come to the market for trading in the normal course. In other
words, the market capitalization of each company in a Free-float index
is reduced to the extent of its readily available shares in the market.
In
India, BSE pioneered the concept of Free-float by launching BSE TECk in
July 2001 and BANKEX in June 2003. While BSE TECk Index is a TMT
benchmark, BANKEX is positioned as a benchmark for the banking sector
stocks. SENSEX becomes the third index in India to be based on the
globally accepted Free-float Methodology.
Major advantages of Free-float Methodology: -
A Free-float index reflects the market trends more
rationally as it takes into consideration only those shares that are
available for trading in the market. -
Free-float Methodology makes the index more
broad-based by reducing the concentration of top few companies in
Index. For example, the concentration of top five companies in SENSEX
has fallen under the free-float scenario thereby making the SENSEX more
diversified and broad-based. -
A Free-float index aids both active and passive
investing styles. It aids active managers by enabling them to benchmark
their fund returns vis-à-vis an investable index. This enables an
apple-to-apple comparison thereby facilitating better evaluation of
performance of active managers. Being a perfectly replicable portfolio
of stocks, a Free-float adjusted index is best suited for the passive
managers as it enables them to track the index with the least tracking
error. -
Free-float Methodology improves index flexibility in
terms of including any stock from the universe of listed stocks. This
improves market coverage and sector coverage of the index. For example,
under a Full-market capitalization methodology, companies with large
market capitalization and low free-float cannot generally be included
in the Index because they tend to distort the index by having an undue
influence on the index movement. However, under the Free-float
Methodology, since only the free-float market capitalization of each
company is considered for index calculation, it becomes possible to
include such closely held companies in the index while at the same time
preventing their undue influence on the index movement. -
Globally, the Free-float Methodology of index
construction is considered to be an industry best practice and all
major index providers like MSCI, FTSE, S&P and STOXX have adopted
the same. MSCI, a leading global index provider, shifted all its
indices to the Free-float Methodology in 2002. The MSCI India Standard
Index, which is followed by Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) to
track Indian equities, is also based on the Free-float Methodology.
NASDAQ-100, the underlying index to the famous Exchange Traded Fund
(ETF) - QQQ is based on the Free-float Methodology.
Definition of Free-float:
Share
holdings held by investors that would not, in the normal course come
into the open market for trading are treated as 'Controlling/ Strategic
Holdings' and hence not included in free-float. In specific, the
following categories of holding are generally excluded from the
definition of Free-float: - Holdings by founders/directors/ acquirers which has control element.
- Holdings by persons/ bodies with "Controlling Interest"
- Government holding as promoter/acquirer
- Holdings through the FDI Route
- Strategic stakes by private corporate bodies/ individuals
- Equity held by associate/group companies (cross-holdings)
- Equity held by Employee Welfare Trusts
- Locked-in shares and shares which would not be sold in the open market in normal course.
The remaining shareholders would fall under the Free-float category.
Determining Free-float factors of companies:
BSE
has designed a Free-float format, which is filled and submitted by all
index companies on a quarterly basis with the Exchange. The Exchange determines the Free-float factor for each company based on
the detailed information submitted by the companies in the prescribed
format. Free-float factor is a multiple with which the total market
capitalization of a company is adjusted to arrive at the Free-float
market capitalization. Once the Free-float of a company is determined,
it is rounded-off to the higher multiple of 5 and each company is
categorized into one of the 20 bands given below. A Free-float factor
of say 0.55 means that only 55% of the market capitalization of the
company will be considered for index calculation.
Free-float Bands:
| % Free-Float | Free-Float Factor | % Free-Float | Free-Float Factor | | >0 - 5% | 0.05 | >50 - 55% | 0.55 | | >5 - 10% | 0.10 | >55 - 60% | 0.60 | | >10 - 15% | 0.15 | >60 - 65% | 0.65 | | >15 - 20% | 0.20 | >65 - 70% | 0.70 | | >20 - 25% | 0.25 | >70 - 75% | 0.75 | | >25 - 30% | 0.30 | >75 - 80% | 0.80 | | >30 - 35% | 0.35 | >80 - 85% | 0.85 | | >35 - 40% | 0.40 | >85 - 90% | 0.90 | | >40 - 45% | 0.45 | >90 - 95% | 0.95 | | >45 - 50% | 0.50 | >95 - 100% | 1.00 | Index Closure Algorithm
The
closing SENSEX on any trading day is computed taking the weighted
average of all the trades on SENSEX constituents in the last 30 minutes
of trading session. If a SENSEX constituent has not traded in the last
30 minutes, the last traded price is taken for computation of the Index
closure. If a SENSEX constituent has not traded at all in a day, then
its last day's closing price is taken for computation of Index closure.
The use of Index Closure Algorithm prevents any intentional
manipulation of the closing index value.
Maintenance of SENSEX
One
of the important aspects of maintaining continuity with the past is to
update the base year average. The base year value adjustment ensures
that replacement of stocks in Index, additional issue of capital and
other corporate announcements like 'rights issue' etc. do not destroy
the historical value of the index. The beauty of maintenance lies in
the fact that adjustments for corporate actions in the Index should not
per se affect the index values.
The Index Cell of the
exchange does the day-to-day maintenance of the index within the broad
index policy framework set by the Index Committee. The Index Cell
ensures that SENSEX and all the other BSE indices maintain their
benchmark properties by striking a delicate balance between frequent
replacements in index and maintaining its historical continuity. The
Index Committee of the Exchange comprises of experts on capital markets
from all major market segments. They include Academicians,
Fund-managers from leading Mutual Funds, Finance-Journalists, Market
Participants, Independent Governing Board members, and Exchange
administration.
On-Line Computation of the Index:
During
market hours, prices of the index scrips, at which trades are executed,
are automatically used by the trading computer to calculate the SENSEX
every 15 seconds and continuously updated on all trading workstations
connected to the BSE trading computer in real time.
Adjustment for Bonus, Rights and Newly issued Capital:
The arithmetic calculation involved in calculating SENSEX
is simple, but problem arises when one of the component stocks pays a
bonus or issues rights shares. If no adjustments were made, a
discontinuity would arise between the current value of the index and
its previous value despite the non-occurrence of any economic activity
of substance. At the Index Cell of the Exchange, the base value is
adjusted, which is used to alter market capitalization of the component
stocks to arrive at the SENSEX value.
The Index Cell of
the Exchange keeps a close watch on the events that might affect the
index on a regular basis and carries out daily maintenance of all the
14 Indices. -
Adjustments for Rights Issues: When a
company, included in the compilation of the index, issues right shares,
the free-float market capitalisation of that company is increased by
the number of additional shares issued based on the theoretical
(ex-right) price. An offsetting or proportionate adjustment is then
made to the Base Market Capitalisation (see 'Base Market Capitalisation
Adjustment' below). -
Adjustments for Bonus Issue: When a
company, included in the compilation of the index, issues bonus shares,
the market capitalisation of that company does not undergo any change.
Therefore, there is no change in the Base Market Capitalisation, only
the 'number of shares' in the formula is updated. -
Other Issues: Base Market Capitalisation
Adjustment is required when new shares are issued by way of conversion
of debentures, mergers, spin-offs etc. or when equity is reduced by way
of buy-back of shares, corporate restructuring etc. - Base Market Capitalisation Adjustment:
The formula for adjusting the Base Market Capitalisation is as follows: | | | | | New Market Capitalisation | | New Base Market Capitalisation | = | Old Base Market Capitalisation | x | --------------------------------------- | | | | | | Old Market Capitalisation | To illustrate, suppose a
company issues right shares which increases the market capitalisation
of the shares of that company by say, Rs.100 crores. The existing Base
Market Capitalisation (Old Base Market Capitalisation), say, is Rs.2450
crores and the aggregate market capitalisation of all the shares
included in the index before the right issue is made is, say Rs.4781
crores. The "New Base Market Capitalisation " will then be: | 2450 x (4781+100) | | | | -------------------------- | = | Rs.2501.24 crores | | 4781 | | | This figure of
2501.24 will be used as the Base Market Capitalisation for calculating
the index number from then onwards till the next base change becomes
necessary. SENSEX - Scrip selection criteria: The general guidelines for selection of constituents in SENSEX are as follows: - Listed History:The scrip should have a listing history
of at least 3 months at BSE. Exception may be considered if full market
capitalisation of a newly listed company ranks among top 10 in the list
of BSE universe. In case, a company is listed on account of merger/
demerger/ amalgamation, minimum listing history would not be required.
- Trading Frequency:The scrip should have been traded
on each and every trading day in the last three months. Exceptions can
be made for extreme reasons like scrip suspension etc.
- Final Rank:The scrip should figure in the top 100
companies listed by final rank. The final rank is arrived at by
assigning 75% weightage to the rank on the basis of three-month average
full market capitalisation and 25% weightage to the liquidity rank
based on three-month average daily turnover & three-month average
impact cost.
- Market Capitalization Weightage:The weightage of
each scrip in SENSEX based on three-month average free-float market
capitalisation should be at least 0.5% of the Index.
- Industry Representation:Scrip selection would generally take into account a balanced representation of the listed companies in the universe of BSE.
- Track Record:In the opinion of the Committee, the company should have an acceptable track record.
Index Review Frequency:
The
Index Committee meets every quarter to review all BSE indices. In case
of a revision in the Index constituents, the announcement of the
incoming and outgoing scrips is made six weeks in advance of the actual
implementation of the revision of the Index.
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